A game theoretic examination of strategic action on the United States Supreme Court
Yeary, Mark Aaron
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This thesis exams the actions of Supreme Court Justices on three natural Court terms (1958 - 1961, 1976 - 1980, and 1994 - 2000), to show that justices do behave in a strategic fashion. In particular, the belief a justice has as to the likelihood of the direction of the vote of the moderate justice determines whether or not a justice will vote in a strategic manner. For this examination, a formal game-theoretic model is developed, with hypotheses derived from the model being tested utilizing variables to measure the likelihood of the moderates vote, as well as others, and logit.