Can routine employment concentration explain regional employment outcomes in jobless recession?
Fitzmaurice, Patrick Joseph
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Recently literature suggests that the trend phenomenon of job polarization and the cyclical phenomenon of jobless recoveries are interrelated. Building upon this discovery, here we ask whether states’ differentially concentrated in routine occupations experience more severe employment drops and less robust employment recoveries in recent recessions. More particularly, we combine occupational task data from the O*NET task database with MSA level employment concentration data to craft a quantifiable measure of routine employment concentration. We proceed run regressions between different metrics for recessionary employment outcomes and this generated measure using a variety of methods. The empirical results proved inconclusive as to the direct mechanism of interest yet suggest task-based economic structure can explain some of the variation in regional employment outcomes.