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dc.contributor.authorAllman, Jared
dc.description.abstractWith the development of a large and early Super Tuesday, it seems to reason that candidates have changed where they go about campaigning. It is theorized that larger and earlier Super Tuesdays should increase the importance candidates place on Iowa and New Hampshire, not decrease, because of the effects of momentum and the difficulty of resource acquisition. The theory is tested by examining the campaign schedules of presidential candidates during the invisible primary from 1988 through 2008. The model cannot rule out the null hypothesis, and explanations are provided as to why this could be, ranging from an incorrect idea to lack of distinct data. A second model is tested, which includes squared terms for the main independent variables to test whether candidate behavior is being influenced in opposite directions. This model is statistically significant, and its implications are examined.
dc.subjectPresidential Nomination Campaigns
dc.subjectCandidate Strategy
dc.subjectSuper Tuesday
dc.subjectInvisible Primary
dc.titleWhere would anyone rather be than Des Moines in December?
dc.title.alternativethe impact of frontloading on the campaign schedules of presidential candidates
dc.description.departmentPolitical Science
dc.description.majorPolitical Science
dc.description.advisorPaul-Henri Gurian
dc.description.committeePaul-Henri Gurian
dc.description.committeeAudrey Haynes
dc.description.committeeRyan Bakker

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